Press & Media
Reporters and producers reach me for plain-English analysis of gas, diesel, crude, and refined-products markets. A selection of recent coverage is below, and I'm quick to respond on deadline.
On the record
Quoted across national business and news media on gas, diesel, crude, and the geopolitics moving all of it.
Recent coverage
Across national business and news outlets. Updated September 2026.
Video
Sep 28, 2026
On CNBC's The Exchange, Patrick walks through how a diesel export ban would ripple through fuel markets, and why it could end up pushing prices higher instead of lower.
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Analysis
Sep 29, 2026
Patrick explains why Georgia drivers won't see the full savings right away, since the tax is collected at the wholesale level, and estimates prices could fall 25 to 30 cents a gallon over the next week or two.
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Analysis
Sep 29, 2026
As the administration looks at expanding tax-free red-dyed diesel instead of an export ban, Patrick doubts it would make a difference, since it adds no new supply.
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Analysis
Sep 28, 2026
Reuters reports the White House is considering wider use of untaxed red-dyed diesel. Patrick's take: it's the same fuel with dye added, and "does nothing to improve supply or impact price."
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Analysis
Sep 28, 2026
With diesel affordability becoming a midterm issue in farm states, Benzinga cites Patrick's view that tax-exempt dyed diesel wouldn't improve supply or lower prices.
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Video
Sep 25, 2026
Patrick gives ABC News his outlook for gas prices over the coming week, with the national average for regular up more than $1.50 a gallon since the war with Iran began.
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Analysis
Sep 23, 2026
Patrick explains why an export ban could backfire: the U.S. isn't short of diesel, the world is, and a ban could push gasoline toward record levels. He points to extending the Jones Act waiver as a better tool, warning the cure would be worse than the disease.
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Analysis
Sep 23, 2026
As lawmakers push to keep diesel at home for farmers and truckers, economists and oil analysts explain how an export ban could backfire and raise what Americans pay at the pump.
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Profile
Sep 23, 2026
A profile of Patrick's work as the internet's go-to gas price analyst: correcting viral misinformation, sticking to data when readers on both sides push back, and explaining fuel markets to a broad audience.
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Analysis
Sep 23, 2026
CNBC cites Patrick's warning that gasoline prices could climb toward record levels if the U.S. bans diesel exports.
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Analysis
Sep 22, 2026
Patrick cautions that any relief from an export ban would likely stay concentrated in Gulf Coast states, calling it a complex issue disguised as something easy and fast to do.
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Analysis
Sep 17, 2026
Patrick tells CBS MoneyWatch that lost refining capacity overseas and at home is driving the surge, and that consumers should plan on higher prices for longer.
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Fact check
Sep 17, 2026
As photos of empty diesel pumps spread online, Patrick uses GasBuddy data to show there are no widespread outages, urging readers to fact-check claims before they fuel panic.
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Feature
Sep 11, 2026
On Power Lunch, Patrick warns that record diesel, the fuel that moves food, freight, and nearly everything else, is becoming a "silent killer" for the broader economy, with Americans paying roughly $700 million more a day for fuel than a year earlier.
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Video
Sep 13, 2026
On Bloomberg This Weekend, Patrick explains why simply pumping more crude won't fix the crunch: refiners are already running near their limits, leaving little room to add gasoline and diesel supply quickly.
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Explainer
Sep 11, 2026
Patrick walks through the consumer fallout of record diesel, warning it could "blow past" $8 in California, where some pumps aren't even built to display what comes next, and that the cost feeds straight into groceries and freight.
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Analysis
Sep 11, 2026
Patrick breaks the record down for households, from the refrigerated food supply chain to farming and heavy transport, and cautions that California prices could run beyond $8 a gallon.
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Analysis
Sep 4, 2026
Patrick tells Axios that until the refining picture improves, both gasoline and diesel face continued upward pressure, with the diesel crack spread hitting record triple-digit highs just as harvest season peaks.
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Analysis
Sep 11, 2026
Patrick frames the milestone in supply-chain terms as diesel tops $6 across all 50 states, with higher freight costs poised to filter into what consumers pay at the store.
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Analysis
Jun 15, 2026
As a U.S.-Iran agreement eased oil costs, Patrick flags the national average dipping under $4 but stays measured on whether the relief will hold, given how quickly renewed tensions could reverse it.
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Analysis
Sep 2026
Patrick's weekly analysis is cited on the unusual late-season strength in prices, with diesel, the fuel that drives the U.S. economy, leading the way higher rather than easing into winter.
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Video
Sep 11, 2026
A Fast Money breakdown of what's pushing pump prices up late in the season, and how far the move could run as geopolitical supply shocks work through the market.
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Analysis
Sep 2026
Patrick lays out the two forces driving pump prices higher, noting diesel surged in every state in a single week while a new Labor Day record for gasoline eclipsed a mark that had stood since 2012.
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Video
Dec 9, 2025
On Varney & Co., Patrick makes the early call for a fourth straight year of easing prices, the outlook that framed much of the 2026 conversation before geopolitics intervened.
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Profile
2024
A profile of the job behind the numbers, refinery runs, inventories, and market data, and Patrick's running effort to correct what the public is told about who actually controls the price at the pump.
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Profile
Aug 2022
A West Wing Playbook profile on how closely Washington, the White House included, tracks Patrick's fuel-price data, and the outsized role a single analyst's numbers can play in the national conversation.
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Video
Nov 19, 2025
Patrick joins Varney & Co. to break down holiday travel and a $3.02 national average, the cheapest Thanksgiving gas since 2020, and what the government shutdown meant for prices at the pump.
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Video
Oct 15, 2024
On Morning Brief, Patrick reads the oil market as Israel signals it won't hit Iran's output, arguing seasonal demand and a supply surplus could pull the national average under $3 for the first time since 2021.
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Video
May 24, 2024
A holiday-travel outlook heading into Memorial Day weekend, with Patrick on where gas prices sit for the unofficial start of the summer driving season and what to expect through the months ahead.
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Analysis
Aug 2024
Patrick's outlook on a holiday-weekend milestone, with the national average easing to its lowest Labor Day level in three years as demand cools and supply holds steady heading into fall.
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Analysis
2015
Patrick on the forces pulling pump prices lower, from softer crude to rising domestic production, and what the shift meant for drivers heading into the season.
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Analysis
Dec 11, 2014
As crude slid below $60, Patrick explains what the drop means downstream for gasoline, and how far the relief could travel to drivers at the pump heading into the new year.
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Analysis
Nov 18, 2014
Patrick on a cheaper holiday at the pump, with falling gas prices freeing up household budgets and putting more travelers on the road for the Thanksgiving stretch.
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Analysis
Dec 4, 2014
With the first U.S. station in years dipping under $2, Patrick maps out why cheap gas clusters where it does, from crude access and Gulf supply to state taxes and local infrastructure.
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Analysis
Aug 12, 2015
Patrick breaks down a spike at Michigan pumps for local drivers, tracing the jump to regional refining and supply swings and what it signaled for prices in the weeks that followed.
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