Head of Petroleum Analysis
Making sense of what you pay at the pump.
Two decades reading crude, refining, and retail fuel markets, then translating the noise into plain-English analysis that reporters, policymakers, and drivers can actually use.
Regularly featured in
.svg)
.svg)
.svg)
.svg)
.svg)
(Meltwater)
(Meltwater)
About me
The person behind the price analysis.
Hi, I'm Patrick. As Head of Petroleum Analysis, I spend my days inside the data that moves gas and diesel prices, crude markets, refinery runs, inventories, and the geopolitics that ripple through all of it, and my job is to make that legible to everyone else.
That work shows up in hundreds of television and video interviews a year, in a weekly newsletter and blog, and across social platforms where I answer the questions people are actually asking: why prices moved, whether the reasons are real, and what tends to happen next. Cutting through the myths matters as much as the numbers, so I lead with data and I'm quick to concede when a critic has a fair point.
Over nearly two decades I've been cited by multiple White House administrations and have taken part in policy discussions on fuel prices and inflation. Lately I'm focused on where fuel data meets policy, commercialization, and geospatial analysis, turning proprietary price data into tools people can build on.
Focus areas
Where I spend my attention.
The beats I track daily and can speak to on short notice, from the pump all the way back to the wellhead.
Retail Fuel Prices
Why gas and diesel move the way they do, price cycling, seasonal swings, and the gap between the pump and the barrel.
Refining & Supply
Utilization, maintenance, outages, and inventories, the plumbing that decides whether supply is tight or comfortable.
Crude & Global Markets
OPEC+ decisions, sanctions, and conflict risk, and how a barrel priced abroad ends up in a tank at home.
Energy Policy
The SPR, fuel standards, and the regulatory levers that shape prices, explained without the spin.
Data & Analytics
Building analysis and products on top of large, real-time fuel price datasets, and commercializing them responsibly.
Geospatial Insight
Mapping prices, demand, and supply geographically to surface patterns a spreadsheet alone would miss.
Experience
Nearly two decades in fuel markets.
Turning energy supply and demand data into market intelligence that reporters, enterprises, and policymakers rely on.
- Lead quantitative analysis of retail and wholesale fuel pricing across all U.S. markets, maintaining one of the most closely watched daily fuel price datasets in North America.
- Analyze weekly EIA petroleum data covering crude and refined product inventories, refinery utilization, and implied demand to model near-term price direction and market balance.
- Apply station-level, GIS-based fuel pricing data to analyze regional supply, demand, and price behavior, and to surface geographic patterns across U.S. markets.
- Build analytical models and data visualizations that translate refining, inventory, and pricing trends for executive, enterprise, and institutional audiences.
- Presented to the National Association of State Energy Officials (NASEO) on seasonal gasoline availability and petroleum inventory dynamics.
- Authored fuel market and energy analysis for a national audience, translating pricing and supply trends into clear, data-driven commentary.
Selected Highlights
Affiliations & Recognition
- State Emergency Response Team (SERT), Florida
- U.S. Department of Homeland Security Incident Management Assistance Team (IMAT-East 2)
Education
DePaul University
Speaking
Talks tailored to your audience.
I regularly brief conferences, agencies, and industry groups. Each of these is prepared and ready to shape around your room, and I'm always happy to build something new.
The Year Ahead at the Pump
"What's driving prices now, and what actually happens next."
From Barrel to Tank
"How conflict and OPEC+ decisions reach your local gas station."
Is Anyone Gouging You?
"Separating the price myths from what the data really shows."
Recent market updates
Straight from my newsletter.
Fuel Insights: in-depth analysis of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and refined products, published as the market moves.
Get in touch
Need a fuel expert on short notice?
- Chicago, Illinois, USA
- [email protected]
- patrickdehaan.com
Reach out and we'll find the right fit.